How RoninAi Works [In-depth Guide]

This is an all inclusive guide on RoninAi features and how to use them. You can see the full contents below.

About RoninAi

RoninAi offers multi-level AI-powered support to crypto investors. There is a total of 5 levels of operations RoninAi team has tied together to give the most value to the users: unusual market activity AI, trend direction AI, portfolio management AI, custom AI, and trade execution AI.

All AI levels are fed with minute-compressed data with tens of thousands data points from the following categories: market data from +10 major crypto exchanges, social sentiment analysis, and blockchain-specific data. All data feeds are live enabling users to receive the most up-to-date AI-powered analysis of the state of crypto markets.

RoninAi constantly works in expanding the collection of input data to consistently improve accuracy of AI predictions.

While levels of AI are interconnected it is important to emphasize that they organized on independent frameworks and could co-exist independent of each other. RoninAi fused some of these AI solutions together and  created a powerful market prediction machine.

UNUSUAL MARKET ACTIVITY AI

Unusual market activity AI focuses on spotting out-of-order patterns that lead to above average volatility in crypto markets. Unusual market activity is often related to pattern recognition related to market manipulations. Although every market manipulation is different, AI analysis of very big set of data enables to detect market manipulation anatomy structures with high level of success.

Unusual market activity alerts related to the overall crypto market are available to users who have subscribed to the Investor Terminal or Pro Terminal. RoninAi is working on incorporating cryptocurrency specific alerts in the next update. To learn more about how to subscribe to the Unusual market activity alerts click here.

TREND DIRECTION AI

Trend direction AI studies markets to forecast future cryptocurrency direction with high level of precision. RoninAi’s research has found that market data alone is not sufficient in successfully forecasting future price direction of cryptocurrencies. However, market data combined with time series of market data derivatives (such as technical indicators), social sentiment, and blockchain-specific data brings substantial improvement to AI predictions resulting in accurate trend direction forecasting.

Data inputs include market capitalization, bid-ask spread, exchange arbitrage, RSI, ADX, MACD, short-term and long-term market support and resistance levels, parabolic SAR, Bollinger Bands, relative and absolute risk-reward indicators, and other cryptocurrency patterns and indicators.

Data inputs are comprised of social media sentiment, influencer sentiment, news sentiment and blockchain-specific indicators including hashing power, number of transactions, and many more.

RoninAi data analysts are working on digitalization of cryptocurrency seasonality and investor perception of crypto markets as well as expanding collection of social sentiment and blockchain-specific data to give its users multi-dimensional AI analytics. To read about what updates are coming to RoninAi platform click here.

Trend indication Ai is available to users who have subscribed to the Investor Terminal or Pro Terminal. To learn more about trend indication AI, click here.

PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT AI

Portfolio management AI enables to build efficient crypto portfolios for any risk-reward preference. As a logical continuation of the trend prediction AI, portfolio management AI bundles predictions of various cryptocurrencies together enabling users to get exposure to crypto markets. RoninAi offers portfolio allocation to six assets: Bitcoin, Ether, Litecoin, Bitcoin Cash, Ripple, and USD. The main goal of portfolio management tool is to protect long-term investors against significant downsides in crypto markets while keeping them exposed to crypto market upsides.

RoninAi purposefully added USD as a protective asset to hedge against financial risks associated with cryptocurrency markets. In the future, RoninAi market specialists are considering to add other traditional and alternative assets to the pool to enable more customizable and flexible risk management.

Portfolio management Ai is available to users who have subscribed to the Pro Terminal. To learn more about portfolio management AI, please see the Pro Terminal Guide.

CUSTOM AI (Coming soon)

The RoninAi development tool enables institutional investors to harness the power of RoninAi to design, train, and employ their own custom Ai architectures to best fit their individualized needs. The development tool is currently used by hedge funds as a testing ground for architectures, both traditional and experimental, to find the best possible fit. Institutional investors can select data with which to train their custom Ai for specific predictive outputs.

RoninAi’s user-friendly framework for designing and testing Ai architectures makes hiring an external Ai team obsolete for institutional investors. Individuals within the hedge fund have the ability to design, test, and analyze Ai architectures that best fit the fund. Beyond the basic setups that RoninAi shows initially, institutional investors have access to dozens of customization features and infinite Ai architecture testing.

TRADE EXECUTION AI (Coming Soon)

Trade execution AI offers dynamic approach to execute trades while capturing crypto markets arbitrage opportunities. RoninAi will offer a dynamic approach to execute trades for every retail investor looking to take advantage of the highly profitable cryptocurrency market using sophisticated trading bots. RoninAi affords investors the ability to execute trading orders automatically via crypto exchanges of choice and rebalance their AI-powered crypto portfolios 24/7. Never miss another significant price move and optimize commission fees.

Investor and Pro Terminal Updates

Here is what’s coming soon:

Coming Soon

API to give out AI predictions for you to test the best strategies and incorporate into your trading and investing strategies

Smoothening tools: smooth AI predictions based on Moving Average, RSI, and ADX methodologies to normalize predictions

– User will be able to select time periods to smooth AI predictions and select the methodology to normalize predictions

Exchange arbitrage: best exchange with the best price of entry

Investor tools

More Cryptos

Trading Bots

Custom AI

Longer-term smoothening to detect longer-term cycles of crypto

– Week-long
– Month-long

Problem is: just holding crypto is not going to work. So while longer-term crypto cycles are important it is the shorter-term ones that could gross more profit.

INVESTOR TERMINAL: SETTINGS

Settings page provides functionality to subscribe to unusual market behavior alerts powered by AI. Unusual market activity alerts offer AI-powered signals of unusual market behavior resulting in above-average volatility and significant moves up or down minutes after the alert.

To subscribe to Unusual market activity alerts fill out personal information and your phone number. Select Email and/or SMS to receive alerts via email and/or text message.

INVESTOR TERMINAL: DASHBOARD

Dashboard page is the precious stone of RoninAi platform giving enormous possibilities to take full advantage of the crypto market and its short-term and long-term fluctuations via the power of AI. AI-powered analytics that analyzes thousands of cryptocurrency data points 24/7 might seem a lot  at first, but gets quiet easy once the basics are learned.

Dashboard has three main sections: AI Forecast Update, Trading, and RoninAi Forecast Index.

AI FORECAST UPDATE

Timer on the top right corner identifies remaining time until the next AI update. Thousands of data points are being collected every minute and automatically fed into AI algorithms, which produces forecasts every minute for the future direction of Bitcoin, Ether, Litecoin, Bitcoin Cash, and Ripple.

AI forecasts are programmed to come at the end of every minute. Due to non-linear nature of data being thrown onto AI engines (sometimes there is more data to be analyzed, sometimes there is less data to be analyzed) the updates could be faster or slower by 30 seconds with the average update being within 60 seconds.

We do not recommend trading minute by minute as that would lead to high transaction fees. Minute by minute data are the building blocks of AI data accumulation. Many sites showing RSI, for example, smooth out the last 14 days of information, but collect that info per day. By collecting data per minute RoninAi achieves much more accurate signals.

Smoothing Update coming soon: This will allow users to average out, or smooth incoming data to larger chunks of time, allowing for large control over update periods. Think of minute data as the foundation on which to build out more tools and usability. These tools and functions are in the works as AI collects more data.

AI SIGNAL FREQUENCY

Given shorter-term data points being fed into AI (minute data), it is fair to assume that AI predictions work best for shorter-term time frames of 5 to 10 minutes. However, AI should not be confused for a statistical methodology describing linear patterns or working based on specific rules only. AI is a great tool for traders and investors to implement in their strategies and become true creators of their own frameworks based on RoninAi’s forecasts.

Academics and practitioners worldwide are still puzzled by the effectiveness with which AI can spot non-linear relationships with  high accuracy. Our team of AI scientists share the same opinion that RoninAi’s forecasts based on hundreds of thousands of data points should not be interpreted solely for the next 5 to 10 minute time frame.

To test such hypothesis, we shared our minute-by-minute AI predictions over a substantial time frame to one of the leading cryptocurrency hedge funds in New York City to test whether predictive power of RoninAi’s forecasts still holds for longer time frames such as 1 hour and longer. Analysis conducted by the hedge fund experts discovered that such time frames still hold great value for investors.

It is important to understand that in the highly volatile cryptocurrency markets it is the shorter-term fluctuations that make most profit for both traders and active, event-driven investors. The goal of RoninAi’s team is to arm our users with necessary tools to take full advantage over crypto market.

We do understand not all traders will trade hourly or even daily. This is where Market Alerts come in.

Investor Terminal Trading

The Trading section gives rich interpretation of AI forecasts for traders who trade cryptocurrencies individually and for investors managing crypto portfolios. AI forecasts signify AI’s confidence that a given cryptocurrency will go up in the next time frame (1 minute on average)

AI forecasts range between 0% and 100% with 100% indicating the highest confidence in the upside and 0% indicating the lowest confidence in the upside. When AI indicates 50.6% confidence level for BTC it means that AI is 50.6% confident that BTC will go up in the next timeframe. Generally, a confidence level above 50% should be considered as a bullish forecast, while a confidence level below 50% should be considered as a bearish forecast.

However, every investor should create individual interpretations that works better for his investment strategy or investment philosophy. For example, it is not uncommon for more risk-averse investors to only consider AI forecasts above 70% as bullish signals (or higher), while AI forecasts below 70% as bearish. You also might want to look at the bigger picture and see if multiple minute signals are highlighting a directional trend.

Thousands of data points are being fed into AI every minute and predictions change every minute too. Does it mean that every AI prediction should be traded? Of course not. Trading cryptocurrencies bears sufficient costs through trading commission and other fees.

AI forecasts could also be interpreted as portfolio allocation weights.

RONINAI FORECAST INDEX

RoninAi Forecast Index section equips users with visual tools to get the maximum benefit from trading strategies with built in risk management for positive returns in any market. This section shows historical AI forecasts and its effectiveness in avoiding crypto market declines while benefiting from market upsides.

 

The price chart is located on the bottom left corner. It has five measures of market activity for a given cryptocurrency. The 3-month time frame is selected by default. Using the chart below as an example, the current price of BTC is $6,649.90. The price has changed by $191.30 in the last 3 months representing a total positive percent change of 2.96 percent. In the 3-month time frame the highest price of BTC reached $8,436.90, while the lowest price was $5,924.00. RoninAi represents average price of every cryptocurrency taken from the +10 major cryptocurrency exchanges.

 

The Ronin AI Forecast chart is located on the bottom right corner and serves as an indicator giving investors additional insights into historical AI predictions. The chart is computed on the assumption that every AI forecast above 50% is considered as a bullish trade and every AI forecast below 50% is considered as a no trade. Effectiveness of RoninAi algorithms is very easy to see as it drastically outperforms the HODL on longer time frames. The chart is calculated based on the initial investment of $10,000 USD and compares RoninAi algorithms with the buy-and-hold strategy.

Reading this chart is both easy and insightful especially when shorter time frames are selected. For example, the 12-hour chart shows a number of flat-line regions indicating that throughout them AI forecasts came in below 50%. AI masterfully avoids many patterned declines while taking advantage of market recoveries resulting in significant outperformance compared to the HODL.

 

When looking at 1-hour time frame RoninAi Forecast Index gives even more emphasized insights as to how AI was reacting to various intra-day moves. AI smoothens abrupt market moves resulting in higher risk-adjusted returns due to minimization of downsides while taking advantage of market upsides.

By looking at the most recent portion of this chart to the far right, particularly after an Unusual Market Behavior Alert, you can see indications of the market going up or down. These are usually the best times to trade, particularly for those who choose to trade less frequently.

 

RoninAi team works on a number of updates to make use of its platform more convenient and profitable.

A number of updates are coming soon to give more customization, flexibility, and analysis capability to our users in the near future.

PRO TERMINAL: SETTINGS

Settings page provides rich functionality for portfolio management based on AI’s predictions. Settings page alone offers tools to set a crypto portfolio, automate portfolio allocation powered by AI analytics, and rebalance portfolio on various timeframes. Settings page also offers functionality to subscribe to unusual market behavior alerts powered by AI.

The Settings page is comprised of two major sections: Portfolio Management and Personal Info.

 

PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT

Portfolio Management is the top section of the Setting page. Upon logging into the platform, two assets are selected by default: USD and BTC. Portfolio could be modified by adding more cryptocurrencies. Currently, the platform holds data and AI analytics for 5 major cryptocurrencies to minimize liquidity risk: Bitcoin (BTC), Litecoin (LTC), Ether (ETH), Ripple (XRP), and Bitcoin Cash (BCH).

To reconfigure portfolio, press Add crypto button and select the appropriate cryptocurrencies. If you already hold any amount of selected cryptocurrencies, you can type in the amount under Enter your amount field. The Allocate button would automatically calculate specific amount of tokens required for every selected asset for comprising the optimal portfolio.



There are not too many secure hedging opportunities in the crypto space. To protect risks against unusual downsides RoninAi has USD as one of the offered assets. Adding USD to the basket could dramatically hedge against crypto declines and serve as effective hedging security. For investors looking to create crypto-only portfolios there is an option to remove USD from the pool.

Example

Let’s assume an investor holds 200 LTC tokens and 100 BCH tokens. Investor would like to create a more diversified portfolio consisting of Bitcoin, Litecoin, Bitcoin Cash, and Ether. To construct an AI-powered portfolio investor should follow two easy steps below.

Step 1. Portfolio reconfiguration

To add 200 LTC tokens and 100 BCH tokens to the portfolio, investor should press the Add crypto button and fill in the details in the pop-up. Investor should add ETH with 0 balance. Finally, he should remove USD by pressing the trash icon inside the USD box.


The amount of capital invested into both LTC and BCH would be automatically reflected in the Allocate your capital amount with AI box based on the market prices of LTC and BCH. If left unchanged, the amount will be automatically changing with market prices. For example, currently investor has a total of $66,384 USD invested into cryptocurrencies. Notice that BTC and ETH have 0 balance, since investor did not allocate his portfolio yet.

Step 2. Portfolio reallocation

To allocate portfolio based on latest AI-driven analytics, simply press on the Allocate button. Portfolio allocation tool will take into consideration the total capital invested into crypto of $66,384 USD and reallocate it into four cryptocurrencies based on the latest AI-driven forecasts.

Notice that portfolio amount stayed roughly the same at around $64,383.99 while every cryptocurrency received a different amount of tokens that the portfolio must be allocated into. Thus, AI-based analytics reallocated investor’s portfolio in the following way: 2.88 BTC tokens, 313.25 LTC tokens, 28.8 BCH tokens, and 54.04 ETH tokens. To see the exact amount of tokens with more than two decimal places, check the Dashboard page.

To reallocate portfolio once again, investor has to simply press the Allocate button one more time.

To clean previous portfolio and start anew, simply click on the Clean portfolio button in the top right corner.

PERSONAL INFO

Personal Info section allows to subscribe to valuable market alerts. Unusual market activity alerts offer AI-powered signals of unusual market behavior resulting in above-average volatility and significant moves up or down minutes after the alert.

To subscribe to Unusual market activity alerts fill out your personal information and your phone number. Select Email and/or SMS to receive alerts via email and/or text message. Learn a more detailed look at how Unusual market activity alerts work and how to use them.

PRO TERMINAL: DASHBOARD

Dashboard page is the precious stone of RoninAi platform giving enormous possibilities to take full advantage of the crypto market and its short-term and long-term fluctuations via the power of AI. AI-powered analytics that analyzes thousands of cryptocurrency data points 24/7 might seem overwhelming at first, but gets incredible easy once the ropes are learned.

Dashboard has four main sections: AI Forecast Update, Trading, Portfolio Management, and RoninAi Forecast Index.

AI FORECAST UPDATE

Timer on the top right corner identifies remaining time until the next AI update. Thousands of data points are being collected every minute and automatically fed into AI algorithms, which produces forecasts every minute for the future direction of Bitcoin, Ether, Litecoin, Bitcoin Cash, and Ripple.


AI forecasts are programmed to come at the end of every minute. Due to non-linear nature of data being thrown onto AI engines (sometimes there is more data to be analyzed, sometimes there is less data to be analyzed) the updates could be faster or slower by 30 seconds with the average update being within 60 seconds.

Given shorter-term data points being fed into AI (minute data), it is fair to assume that AI predictions work best for shorter-term time frames of 5 to 10 minutes. However, AI should not be confused for a statistical methodology describing linear patterns or working based on specific rules only. AI is a great tool for traders and investors to implement in their strategies and become true creators of their own frameworks based on RoninAi’s forecasts.

Academics and practitioners worldwide are still puzzled by the effectiveness with which AI can spot non-linear relationships with  high accuracy. Our team of AI scientists share the same opinion that RoninAi’s forecasts based on hundreds of thousands of data points should not be interpreted solely for the next 5 to 10 minute time frame.

To test such hypothesis, we shared our minute-by-minute AI predictions over a substantial time frame to one of the leading cryptocurrency hedge funds in New York City to test whether predictive power of RoninAi’s forecasts still holds for longer time frames such as 1 hour and longer. Analysis conducted by the hedge fund experts discovered that such time frames still hold great value for investors.

It is important to understand that in the highly volatile cryptocurrency markets it is the shorter-term fluctuations that make most profit for both traders and active, event-driven investors. The goal of RoninAi’s team is to arm our users with necessary tools to take full advantage over crypto market.

We do understand not all traders will trade hourly or even daily. This is where Market Alerts come in.

Pro Terminal Trading

The Trading section gives rich interpretation of AI forecasts for traders who trade cryptocurrencies individually and for investors managing crypto portfolios. Upon logging into the platform, two assets are selected by default: BTC and USD. To reconfigure portfolio, visit the Settings page. For more information about how to use the Settings page see above sections.

AI forecasts signify AI’s confidence that a given cryptocurrency will go up in the next timeframe. AI forecasts range between 0% and 100% with 100% indicating the highest confidence in the upside and 0% indicating the lowest confidence in the upside. When AI indicates 40.5% confidence level for BTC it means that AI is 40.5% confident that BTC will go up in the next timeframe. Generally, a confidence level above 50% should be considered as a bullish forecast, while a confidence level below 50% should be considered as a bearish forecast.

However, every investor should create individual interpretations that works better for his investment strategy or investment philosophy. For example, it is not uncommon for more risk-averse investors to only consider AI forecasts above 70% (or higher) as bullish signals, while AI forecasts below 70% as bearish. To learn more about how traders could take advantage of AI predictions continue reading.

Green and red arrows next to AI forecasts indicate how current prediction is related to the previous one. This is very important, the arrows indicate change from the previous minute forecast.

For example, AI prediction for BTC changed from 40.5% to 55.9%. Since AI became more confident in BTC’s upward movement in the next timeframe, the arrow is green. Conversely, prediction to hold USD in portfolio changed from 59.5% to 44.1% indicating that AI is less confident to hold USD for the next timeframe, hence the red arrow.

 

The portfolio could be reconfigured to include up to five major cryptocurrencies (BTC, ETH, LTC, BCH, XRP) and USD, working as a portfolio hedge. To reconfigure portfolio, visit the Settings page.

Interpretation of AI forecasts for a wider range of cryptocurrencies stays the same where AI is 52.7% confident about BTC going up, 50.0% confident about ETH going up, 53.6% confident about LTC going up, 50.2% confident about BCH going up, 32.4% confident about XRP going up, and 52.5% confident about USD going up. To explain the same concept from a different angle, predictions above indicate that AI is more bullish on BTC, LTC, BCH, and USD, while it is more bearish on ETH and XRP.

Thousands of data points are being fed into AI every minute and predictions change every minute too. Does it mean that every AI prediction should be traded? Of course not. Trading cryptocurrencies bears sufficient costs through trading commission and other fees.

PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT

Portfolio Management section offers rich functionality for both active and passive investors. Portfolio Management section of the Dashboard page is directly connected to the Trading section of the Dashboard and to the Portfolio Management section of the Settings page.

 

Basic features of Portfolio Management section are best explained on the example. Let’s assume the investor would like to allocate $100,000 USD into a portfolio consisting of BTC and USD. Investor would go to the Settings page and fill in the amount of $100,000 and press the Allocate button.

RoninAi suggests investor to acquire 7.46 tokens of BTC and keep the remaining $50,559.08 USD allocated into cash in his brokerage account.

 

Investor would then proceed to the Dashboard to see the exact amount of BTC he has to purchase. Dashboard indicates that 7.46379 BTC tokens must be acquired, and investor proceeds to do so.

 

AI predictions change every minute, but it does not mean that the signals should be traded every minute. In one of the next timeframes RoninAi suggests to buy an additional 0.00006 BTC. To see how influential this additional purchase is to the entire portfolio, investor can navigate the mouse to see that it represents a mere $0.39, which is insignificant compared to the total amount of almost 7.5 tokens of BTC already purchased in the account.

 

AI changes again, this time a little more significant. This time, AI prediction for BTC changed from 49.4% to 51.2% changing portfolio allocation as well. Now AI suggests to purchase $1,746.53 worth of Bitcoins. Is that significant enough? Investor’s portfolio holds nearly $50,000 of his portfolio in BTC and, perhaps, $1,746.53 is still insignificant. Decisions like that have to go through active investor’s mind to figure out the best moment to reallocate his portfolio once again.

 

Sometime after AI indicates confidence of BTC moving up at 66.1% and signifies that 2.52368 BTC tokens ($16,708.5 USD) must be acquired to match the new allocation. Such significant amount represents almost one third of investor’s BTC holdings and one sixth of investor’s entire portfolio. This is where Investor should start exploring the crypto market and decide if it is worthwhile to conduct reallocation. Sporadic and frequent reallocations go against any investment philosophy and should only be conducted in times of significant volatility that could be greatly predicted in combination with Unusual Market Activity Alerts.  

 

Moments later AI forecast drops back to 48.3% from 66.1% normalizing investor’s portfolio. AI is very sensitive to shorter-term changes and longer-term investors should examine crypto markets in more details before rushing to rebalance their portfolios consistently to avoid overtrading and paying excessive commission fees.

 

If investor decided to conduct a trade they should do so via their crypto exchange of choice and update the new total amount of BTC on RoninAi platform by filling in the new total amount under the Update your amount field. Updates must take place in both BTC and USD tabs to preserve correct total amount of capital invested across the entire portfolio.

 

A more diversified portfolio with more assets would work in the similar fashion as described above.

RONINAI FORECAST INDEX

RoninAi Forecast Index section equips users with visual tools to get the maximum benefit from trading strategies with built in risk management for positive returns in any market. This section also neatly depicts historical AI forecasts and its effectiveness in avoiding crypto market declines while benefiting from market upsides.

 

The price chart is located on the bottom left corner. It has five measures of market activity for a given cryptocurrency. The 3-month time frame is selected by default. Using the chart below as an example, the current price of BTC is $6,649.90. The price has changed by $191.30 in the last 3 months representing a total positive percent change of 2.96 percent. In the 3-month time frame the highest price of BTC reached $8,436.90, while the lowest price was $5,924.00. RoninAi represents average price of every cryptocurrency taken from the +10 major cryptocurrency exchanges.

 

The Ronin AI Forecast chart is located on the bottom right corner and serves as an indicator giving investors additional insights into historical AI predictions. The chart is computed on the assumption that every AI forecast above 50% is considered as a bullish trade and every AI forecast below 50% is considered as a no trade. Effectiveness of RoninAi algorithms is hardly not seen as it drastically outperforms the HODL on longer time frames. The chart is calculated based on the initial investment of $10,000 USD and compares RoninAi algorithms with the buy-and-hold strategy.

Reading this chart is both easy and insightful especially when shorter time frames are selected. For example, the 12-hour chart shows a number of flat-line regions indicating that throughout them AI forecasts came in below 50%. AI masterfully avoids many patterned declines while taking advantage of market recoveries resulting in significant outperformance compared to the HODL.

 

When looking at 1-hour time frame RoninAi Forecast Index gives even more emphasized insights as to how AI was reacting to various intra-day moves. AI smoothens abrupt market moves resulting in higher risk-adjusted returns due to minimization of downsides while taking advantage of market upsides. Observing AI forecasts around high-volatility events predicted by Unusual Market Activity Alerts could bring special benefit to RoninAi users.

 

RoninAi team works on a number of updates to make use of its platform more convenient and profitable. See our alerts guide here or start using RoninAi with Pro or Investor terminal.